Oct 22, 2016 2:12 AM
NOAA's winter outlook: Mixed bag for New England
NOAA released their winter outlook this week, with mixed results for New England.
At this time last year, one of the strongest El Ninos was underway in the Pacific. An El Nino is warmer than normal water in the Pacific Ocean, near the equator.
Fast forward a year, and we're dealing with mixed signals – and perhaps even a weak La Nina, or cooler than normal water.
The differences can greatly impact the weather pattern across North America during the winter months.
NOAA, the official government agency responsible for climate forecasts, says the lack of a strong signal leads to mixed signals for New England.
Confidence is high hat above average temperatures will occur in Maine. It's also likely a cold and snowy winter is coming to the northern tier of the country, from Montana to Michigan.
For New Hampshire, NOAA says there are equal chances of above and below normal precipitation.
Of course, we could really use some precipitation this winter, in the midst of one of the driest spells in years.
NH1 First Alert Meteorologists Joe Joyce and Ryan Breton will be working on the winter outlook for New Hampshire in the next few weeks.
A number of factors need to be considered when trying to add value to a seasonal forecast. While we can't say with confidence a specific date will be snowy or rainy, we can look at trends to suggest whether this winter will be colder and snowier or warmer and drier.
Be sure to stay tuned for our outlook in a few weeks.
Look below to see the NOAA projections for this winter.