Jan 13, 2016 11:57 PM
NH1 Weather Insider with Joe Joyce: January 14, 2015
NH1 Chief Meteorologist
It's a cold start to the day with a few clouds, but skies will brighten to partly sunny skies with a lighter west wind during the afternoon with highs in the upper 20's and lwr 30's. Temperatures will be at seasonal norms during the afternoon. The cold air will gradually be lifting away and back up into Canada, only to return with a fury fully recharged back into the Northeast next week!
As the cold air begins to lift away, SW winds at the surface will allow temps to climb back into the 30's Friday with some increasing afternoon cloudiness as a warm front approaches from the west. It has been a tricky weekend forecast regarding the weekend storm for Saturday. And it still remains so, but we are seeing trends. We just hope our models start settling into a trend instead of going back and forth. We will have a good idea of what we can expect Saturday with today's information coming in. Still, with cold air lifting out Friday, there will be a certain lack of cold air in place when the moisture arrives, so a wet mix of rain and some snow is more likely. The best chance of accumulating snow will be in the northern mountains where there will be deeper cold air in place.
The problem is there are several pieces of energy to track, and our computer models are trying to figure out how to handle the incoming energy from the Pacific. Now that the energy is over land we will start to get a better handle, better data on what we are dealing with. How these pieces of energy interact or don't interact will be critical in determining Saturday's Weather.
One low from the Pacific NW will track through the Great Lakes, then NW of New England. Another piece of energy from the SW will link up with moisture coming out of the Gulf of Mexico being directed north by an energized subtropical jetstream. Earlier this week, it looked like these two lows would be able to merge and help to form a stronger storm off the New England coastline. It is starting to look like these two pieces of energy will no phase, and remain separate. One low tracks NW of us, the other tracks SE of us. The low coming out of the Gulf will become a strong storm as it gets to the water, but will likely track far enough off shore to spare us any real complications.
So in summary, we are still watching for changes in trends and new data coming in on the Saturday's weather, but right now it looks like a mix of light rain and snow will be impacting New Hampshire Saturday morning into the early afternoon. Not much wind either. Any changes could bring more changes to the forecast so stay tuned.
Drier weather will return Sunday and into the beginning of next week. Another strong low will fly out of the Gulf and follow a similar but father south track out to sea too. A significant push of cold Arctic air will return back to the Northeast next week with highs in the Lwr 20's and active winds from the NW Mon-Tues which will keep wind chills in the )'s and teens. Generally quiet weather can be expected all of next week with temperatures gradually moderating from the early week cold blast.