Feb 9, 2016 9:27 PM

NH1 Weather Insider with Joe Joyce: February 10, 2016

NH1 Chief Meteorologist

A weak area of low pressure will be crossing over Northern New England today. Any breaks of morning sun will fade as skies become mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers will moving from west to east during the afternoon. Winds will be from the south during the afternoon with high temperatures climbing into the mid-30's. Scattered showers will come in bursts of heavier snow, and maybe even a few snow squalls. Any squall will briefly limit the visibility and possibly a quick inch of snow will fall. In the northern mountains, there will be the potential for 1-3" of snow. In the lower elevations, some snow showers may mix with rain during the afternoon with temperatures warming above freezing. The low will drag a cold front through the region which will push off the coast by Wednesday night. Colder NW winds will direct colder air back into New Hampshire for Thursday.

Breezy NW winds will make Thursday a bit cooler in the 20's to near 30. Partly sunny to Mostly cloudy skies are expected again, along with the chance of a few more scattered snow showers and flurries as the Upper low drifts over our heads and pulls away. Friday will be a much cooler day with Highs only in the Lwr 20's. Another weak low will dive in from Canada and cross through the region Friday night. This will merge with more energy off the coastline early Saturday and become a stronger storm in the ocean and track up into the maritimes. While this storm will miss us, strong Northerly winds will develop on the back side of the departing low.

A deep upper level trough will be in place across the Northeast. The Polar Vortex will drive the coldest air of the winter from the Arctic right into New England this weekend. The vortex will be sitting right over our heads this weekend. The skies will be bright, but the winds will be bitterly cold. Highs on Saturday will be 13-16 degrees with windchills feeling below zero. Conditions will be extreme on the mountain summits with temperatures in the single digits and wind chills ranging from -20 to -30. This is some dangerous cold and can have the potential for frostbite if exposed to these element for too long without proper dress. By Saturday night, the heart of the Arctic air will settle in. Lows will be falling to -5 to -15 degrees with wind chills feeling -20 to -30 in the lower elevations...all the way down into Southern new Hampshire! Sunday will start off frigid and will remain very cold with temperatures running about 20 degrees below normal. Highs will struggle to get above 12 degrees even with the full sunshine. Winds will be breezy, but not as strong as Saturday.

The good news is the Arctic cold will be short lived and begin to lift out next week. High pressure will provide the sunshine Monday with highs in the 20's. We will be watching moisture coming out of the Gulf of Mexico next week. This low will come up the coast and has the potential to become a stronger storm with a mix of snow and rain, but the track is still uncertain. Our ensemble models which are a blend of all the models....are sniffing out this low and this timing. There is confidence that somewhere around the 16-17 we will be dealing with a storm. Just one of the many things in the weather we will be watching!


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