NECMF

Jan 20, 2016 12:44 PM

NH1 FIRST ALERT WEATHER: This snowstorm could go 1 of 2 ways for NH

NH1 Chief Meteorologist - NH1.com

CONCORD - New critical information will be coming into the NH1 weather center over the next 24-48 hours. Computer model runs will be shifting tracks, and outcomes for the next day or two until they hopefully can come to a consensus. The latest information on Tuesday night does not look favorable for a snowstorm in New Hampshire.

Trends in our computer models have shifted farther south with the track, recognizing the depth of the cold dry air in front of the storm, which may actually help to suppress the storm farther south.

Could this be a miss for New Hampshire? Absolutely. But tracks could just as easily change Wednesday and Thursday, so we hang tight and wait to see if the trends continue. For now, this looks like a storm which will hit the Mid-Atlantic the hardest, and have some impact and potential snow for southern new England. New Hampshire may completely miss this one. BUT...I can not confirm that quite yet!

It could look like this:

Or this..



These are simply two computer model runs with their estimated snowfall for the upcoming weekend storm. Both show a clear signature of heavy snow in the Mid-Atlantic states.

Also note, the lack of estimated snowfall across New Hampshire. It looks like the dry cold air will win out across Northern New England.

Still, it is way too early and we will be watching to see if there is any trend further northward with snowfall totals Wednesday or Thursday. Stay tuned to NH1 News or NH1.com for further weather updates.

Also you can follow Joe Joyce on Twitter @JoeJoyceNH1 for his latest thinking on the weather.

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