Jan 20, 2016 11:49 PM
NH1 Chief Meteorologist
Not much has changed from our previous thinking. There is a major winter storm which will be affecting millions of people in a major way this weekend. But here in New Hampshire, you will barely a notice thing. It is quite remarkable considering the size, scope and magnitude of this storm. A low will come out of Texas later today, and immediately start to deepen into a stronger storm in the Gulf states accompanied with heavy rain. This low will track towards the Carolinas where energy will be transferred to the coast, and it will become an even bigger storm off the mid-Atlantic coastline Saturday morning.
We know this is going to bring very heavy snow to the Mid-Atlantic states from VA to PA to NJ. It will be a widespread 1-2 foot snowfall with localized ares who could see up to 3 feet. This will cripple all traffic on the ground and in the air. People in this part of the nation are preparing for the worst. Not only will this be a heavy snowstorm, but gusty winds will make for Blizzard conditions limiting the visibility in the blowing snow. As the storm deepens, winds will pick up to 40-50 mph form the Northeast. This could knock out power to tens if not Hundreds of thousands of people. At the coast, seas will be building to 10-20+ feet off the coast. Large waves, rough surf will be directed onshore by the NE winds in combination with tides running astronomically high with the full moon. Major coastal flooding is expected for coastal NJ and Delaware with storm surge levels comparable to Superstorm Sandy. If that were to verify, coastal regions would become inundated with water and could become a life threatening situation at these beaches from Atlantic City to Dewey Beach.
There are questions how far north the shield of snow will push into Southern New England. Some of our latest models have trended a bit farther north bringing a moderate accumulating snowfall for southern coastal, CT, RI and SE MA. We'll see if those trends continue. Along and north of the MA, I am not expecting much snow. In fact, as I have said before, this should be a non-event for New Hampshire. High pressure to our north is supplying the low level dry air and is close enough to us, that it will be preventing the northern fringe of snow from making any further north progress past Boston. So in summary, I am optimistic with my weekend forecast for New Hampshire. Sure we will see some clouds increasing Saturday, and it could get a little breezy at the coast. But considering what others will be contending with farther down I-95...I feel even a little guilty in my delight. I expect a dry weekend with highs in the 20's near 30. Sunshine will be increasing on Sunday. Milder air will begin to return to the Northeast for the start of next week in the 30's. Enjoy the miss. We will definitely be getting ours soon enough!
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