Sep 1, 2016 1:54 PM
NH1 Chief Meteorologist
Tropical Storm Hermine continues to barrel to the Florida panhandle with sustained winds up to 70 mph in the center of the storm. Just under Hurricane strength. This storm continues to get stronger and will likely be upgraded to a hurricane today as it will be making landfall tonight somewhere near Apalachicola tonight. This will have a major impact as arrives with a significant storm surge and the potential for some life threatening flash flooding. If upgraded, this will be the first hurricane to hit Florida in 11 years! The last one being Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Incredible to think about that it has been that long!
The National Hurricane Center current track has this moving over the Carolinas where it will weaken some over land, but once it gets back over the open water, Hermine will feel off the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, get cut off from the Jetstream and stall off the mid-Atlantic coast. There are questions har far north towards New England this storm will be able to drift over the course of the weekend.
The image below is from the GFS model we use. It is not a perfect model and not always accurate, but this image shows the beast of a storm this will become off the mid-Atlantic and off the southern New England coastline. This image is a projection of where the storm could be and look like Early Sunday morning. This could easily intensify back into a Hurricane while sitting off the coast, sparing coast communities the worst of the wind and waves....but also lashing the coastlines with strong NNE winds 40-50 MPh, pounding waves, coastal flooding...especially from Long Island down through the New Jersey coastline, & the DelmarVa Peninsula.
Conditions will be going downhill across southern New England Sunday with developing rough surf, Gusty winds Gale force winds 40-45 mph, especially for the Cape and the Islands and south coastal communities of southern New England. Rain should also begin to spread into southern New England Sunday. The good news is this storm will stay just far enough to spar New England the worst of it's impacts.
In fact, New Hampshire will be in a pretty good spot to survive the weekend fairly unscathed all things considered. Clouds will likely increase on Sunday, with nice weather across the north country. Cooler onshore winds will become breezy at the coast Sunday as a band of clouds spreads in. We will also have to watch for the potential for a few showers spinning into NH for the afternoon and evening Sunday..but they just may hold off if the storm placement is just a little farther south. Labor Day will be our best day for clouds, showers and breezy winds at the coast. The rain does not look very heavy, but obviously conditions will not be ideal to end the holiday weekend.
The image below shows a cut-off low under a ridge of high pressure. This storm will be running into a blocking ridge of high pressure which will help to keep New Hampshire in pretty decent shape, but also the differences in air pressure between the high and the strengthening storm will make for strong winds just offshore. This storm will be stopped in it's track, do a loop de loop and then eventually begin to weaken as the ridge will kick this storm away by Tuesday with warmer temperatures to quickly return next week.
This will not be the kind of rain to bust a drought but the areas across SE NH and eastern MA will have the best chance of picking up some steadier rain fall. The heaviest rain will be at across the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states closer to the coastline. Bands of Heavier rain could also spin back into Southern New England Sunday into Monday. Our best chance of any showers will be late Sunday-Sunday night and into Labor Day. There is the potential for up to an inch or more of rain if this storm tracks closer to New England. If the storm is slightly farther south, we will see like a few showers on Labor Day with minimal impacts.
Obviously, there is plenty to watch here in the coming days. We will be keeping you up to date of any of these changes. This will turn into a powerful storm south of New England, but the saving grace is the distance away from this storm. This will be more a nuisance to our Labor Day weekend than a problem. For others farther south, along the coastline, coastal flooding and winds will be an issue this weekend, and may even become a damaging storm for places like New Jersey.
Mar 25, 2017 7:52 PMA South Carolina man who wrapped electrical tape around a dog's muzzle to stop her from barking has been sentenced to five years in...
12 hours 48 minutes agoOfficials transported a young child to a local hospital with minor injuries after they allegedly ran into a moving car. (More)
20 hours 7 minutes agoA Hooksett man faces charges after he allegedly pushed his girlfriend twice and choked her, impeding her breathing. (More)
18 hours 18 minutes agoChichester Fire and Rescue extinguished a heavy kitchen fire, leading to the death of household pets. (More)
19 hours 4 minutes agoPolice allegedly found crack cocaine and heroin on a man wanted on an arrest warrant. (More)
Mar 25, 2017 9:34 AMA Tilton felon is facing drug and gun charges after police allegedly saw him slumped over the wheel of his car Saturday around 1...
Mar 24, 2017 5:19 PMWhile executing a search warrant, police seized what is believed to be psilocybin mushrooms, marijuana, and butane honey oil. (More)
Mar 25, 2017 4:30 PMPolice arrested a woman after she left her 2-year-old in her running vehicle while she shopped at Target Saturday. (More)
Mar 25, 2017 2:54 PMThe newly appointed deputy chairman of the Democratic National Committee says the Democratic party can't spend all of its energy focusing on Republican President...
Mar 24, 2017 9:33 AMNew Hampshire State Police arrested to wanted fugitives after stopping a van full of people who entered the United States illegally. (More)
Mar 24, 2017 3:59 PMTwo influential members of New Hampshire’s state Senate predict that a bill to decriminalize small amounts of marijuana possession will pass their chamber. (More)
Mar 24, 2017 3:51 PMSnow fell faster than expected today, accumulating a few inches in parts of central and northern New Hampshire through late-afternoon. (More)
Mar 24, 2017 12:39 PMA woman is facing drug charges after being found in possession of heroin during a parole check-in. She was arrested for possession of a...
Mar 23, 2017 4:16 PMState Police rearrested a Wales man for stealing electricity from a Central Maine Power pole and transformer. (More)
Mar 23, 2017 4:59 PMA Stafford County corrections officer allegedly tried bringing thousands of dollars of drugs into the jail was supposed to get deployed. (More)
Mar 24, 2017 11:09 AMIt's the first Friday of spring, but Granite Staters will have some snow to deal with. (More)
Mar 24, 2017 9:02 AMThe effort to crack down on drug-related crimes - known NH-wide as Operation Granite Hammer - led to the arrests of 2 suspected heroin...
Mar 23, 2017 3:02 PMA Keene man was indicted for allegedly strangling two of his then-girlfriend's cats. (More)
Mar 23, 2017 1:28 PMDemocrats filed a complaint with the ethics committee arguing Sununu violated rules against using his position to secure advantages for himself or others. (More)
Mar 22, 2017 5:27 PMNicole Guida, owner of Chic & Unique, a boutique shop located in Littleton, is requesting a jury trial against a former customer who caused...
Mar 22, 2017 6:02 PMA Strafford County corrections officer allegedly attempted to bring heroin into the jail before being detained by police. (More)
Mar 22, 2017 11:01 AMChelsea Blais plead not guilty to abusing children in her care at the Alpha Bits Learning Center, where police say she force fed and...
Mar 22, 2017 10:15 AMNYPD seized over $4.1 million and over three kilograms (6 pounds) of heroin, unraveling a multi-state drug ring — involving New England. (More)
Mar 22, 2017 4:06 PMNew Hampshire is often in the 'weather battle zone' this time of year, which isn't a good thing if you are looking for spring...
Mar 22, 2017 10:45 AMNew Hampshire’s top public officials Wednesday marked the death of state Sen. Scott McGilvray. The first term Democratic state senator from Hooksett and president...
Mar 22, 2017 7:33 AMThe National Weather Service has issued a wind advisory from 10 a.m. Wednesday to midnight. (More)
Mar 21, 2017 10:29 PMA report released on Tuesday by the state agency that licenses childcare centers revealed multiple incidents of verbal and physical abuse committed by a...
Mar 21, 2017 6:40 PMA mother and her friend who injected her with heroin while she was in labor in September 2016 will not be facing felony charges...
Mar 21, 2017 4:09 PMA 74-year-old Mass. man living in public housing for the elderly faces drug trafficking charges after police say they found cocaine valued at about...
Mar 21, 2017 12:09 PMDerry Police say a home was shot at and struck at least 6 times early Tuesday morning, but no one was hurt. (More)
Mar 21, 2017 12:26 PMA woman has been charge with assault against three infants at a Manchester day care center. The three victims are all younger than 1-years-old....
Mar 20, 2017 4:05 PMA man who pleaded guilty to supplying a person in Rochester with a deadly dose of drugs will spend between 8- and 16-years in...
Mar 20, 2017 4:01 PMOnlyInYourState.com has provided nine places in the Granite State where you might be able to spot a ghost. (More)
Mar 20, 2017 2:31 PMPolice are searching for a man who allegedly punched and injured another man at a diner in Manchester. (More)
Mar 20, 2017 3:56 PMA 21-year-old man destroyed his family home after trying to exterminate ants with wooden matches, killing their two cats and a dog. (More)
Mar 20, 2017 4:14 PMA state representative cited house rules when she told a New Hampshire man to stop recording a committee meeting - rules that apparently do...
Mar 19, 2017 5:08 PMA new kind of roller coaster experience is set to premiere next month at Six Flags New England. (More)
Mar 20, 2017 9:40 AMAuthorities say Super Bowl LI and Super Bowl XLIX jerseys "found in the possession of a credentialed member of international media." (More)
Mar 18, 2016 10:37 AMA drug sweep on Thursday afternoon and evening netted four arrests, a pound of suspected cocaine and $7,000 in cash. (More)
Mar 19, 2017 11:56 AMDisney's live-action 'Beauty' was a beast at the box office, opening with an estimated $170 million in North American ticket sales and setting a...
Mar 19, 2017 10:06 AMToll booth workers could be a thing of the past under a bill before the New Hampshire House. (More)
Mar 19, 2017 10:48 AMA Windham man sustained life-threatening injuries when his snowmobile collided with a tree. (More)
Mar 19, 2017 11:23 AMA snowmobiler fell through thin ice, causing a difficult rescue by Wakefield Fire and EMS. (More)
Mar 18, 2017 1:33 PMA Boscawen man is accused of driving 104 mph in a 65 mph speed zone around 9:40 a.m. Saturday. (More)
Mar 17, 2017 5:07 PMAn Exeter High School guidance counselor has pleaded not guilty to aggravated sexual assault against an underage female student. (More)
Mar 17, 2017 4:26 PMA Pembroke mother held a gun to her daughter's head and shouted "You (expletive) piece of (expletive)," according to court paperwork. (More)
Mar 18, 2017 8:24 AMUtility crews are still mopping up in New Hampshire after a powerful nor'easter. (More)
Mar 17, 2017 11:30 AMA 62-year-old man passed away after his snowmobile got stuck in while attempting to get up a hill on Trail 21 in Stewartstown. (More)
Mar 17, 2017 1:13 PMThe Nashua Police Department arrested five more people for various drug-related crimes in connection with Operation Granite Hammer Thursday. (More)