Nov 3, 2014 8:24 AM

Kevin Landrigan: Last UNH poll shows GOP late surge in NH

The last poll done from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center was cause for election eve celebration for Republican candidates at the top of the ballot.
Survey Center Director Andy Smith predicted a "very long night'' Tuesday after releasing the results that showed races for US Senate, governor and US House in the First Congressional District all too close to call.

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's lead over Republican Scott Brown had all but evaporated, 47 percent for the incumbent Democrat to 45 percent for Brown.
Likewise, Gov. Maggie Hassan's double-digit lead of only a week ago had shrunk to four points, 47 percent for her and 43 percent for Republican hopeful Walt Havenstein.

The First District race was tied at 47 percent apiece for both Congresswoman Carol-Shea Porter and ex-Republican Congressman Frank GuThe last University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll for WMUR showed Republican candidates on the move at the top of the ballot. Leads for both Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-NH, and Gov. Maggie Hassan shrunk while Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter was locked in a flat-footed tie with ex-Republican Congressman Frank Guinta.

The same poll showed a double-digit advantage for Second District Congresswoman Annie Kuster over Republican Marilinda Garcia.

Last week, UNH's poll done for WMUR had showed Shaheen and Hassan in better shape than other independent polls.

Smith attributed the tightening race to Shaheen losing her overwhelming edge among women voters. Brown led by 2 percent among independent voters.

On the final day of campaigning, Brown led a Republican bus tour that was to make several stops in the western part of the state starting in Keene and ending in New London this afternoon.

Democratic candidates are mounting their own get out the vote activities, Shaheen with a rally in downtown Concord while Hassan plans to meet with voters at the University of New Hampshire in Durham and outside the Market Basket in Epping.

Kuster has scheduled a downtown walk among businesses in Concord.


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