May 6, 2015 4:52 PM
NH1 Chief Meteorologist - NH1.com
We could soon see our first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season form off the Carolina coastline.
Considering the Atlantic Hurricane Season does not start until June first, it is a bit early, but not unheard of.
This latest development off the coast is not a sign of a more active hurricane season.
Colorado State University climatologists Bill Gray and Phillip Klotzbach predict a lower than average Atlantic hurricane season with 3 Hurricanes, one to become major with only seven named storms .
The pattern continues.
In this age of global warming, did you know that we are in a hurricane drought?
No major hurricane category 3 or higher has made landfall on the United States coastline during the past nine years.
This is longest stretch of no major hurricanes dating back to 1851.
Hurricane Wilma in 2005 was the last major storm to strike. Experts say our lack of storms is just sheer luck.
Oddly enough, this drought could continue.
El Nino has developed in the Pacific and will get stronger. Warm winds from El Nino tend to blow stronger over the Atlantic which can suppress hurricane formation in the open Atlantic.
But we will have to watch the coastline carefully.
There is a more favorable environment for storms to develop closer to the U.S. coastline because of warm sea surface temperatures near to the coast.
As we know ... it only takes one major storm to make a season memorable.
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