Sep 21, 2016 1:00 PM
NH1 News Political Director
CONCORD – A new poll indicates Hillary Clinton with a nine percentage point lead over Donald Trump in the battle for New Hampshire’s crucial four electoral votes.
And the public opinion survey by Monmouth University also indicates the Granite State’s blockbuster U.S. Senate battle between Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte and Gov. Maggie Hassan, her Democratic challenger, all knotted up.
The poll also suggests Republican Executive Councilor Chris Sununu holds a six point edge over Democratic councilor Colin Van Ostern in the race for governor.
The Monmouth University survey, which was released Wednesday, was conducted Saturday through Tuesday.
According to the poll, 47% of likely voters in New Hampshire support the Democratic presidential nominee, with 38% backing Trump. Ten percent say they’ll vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, with 1% supporting Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Three percent said they’re currently undecided.
The survey indicates 94% of Democrats back Clinton, with 85% of Republicans supporting the GOP nominee. Clinton edges Trump 42%-35% among the state’s large block of undeclared, or independent, voters.
Clinton tops Trump by 10 points among those under 50, and holds an eight point advantage over her GOP rival among those 50 and older.She leads by 14% among women and by 13% among voters with a college degree.
Trump holds a 10-point lead with male votes and has a seven point edge with voters without a college education.
Only 30% have a favorable opinion of the Republican nominee while 63% hold an unfavorable view of him.
Clinton's numbers are marginally better. She has a 36%-56% favorable/unfavorable rating.
According to the poll, Clinton has the edge when it comes to handling the economy and jobs.
The Monmouth University poll is just the second public opinion survey in New Hampshire conducted this month. An NBC/Marist poll conducted Sept. 6-8 put Clinton at 39%, Trump at 37%, with Johnson at 15% and Stein at 3%.
In the Senate race, the poll suggests Ayotte at 47% and Hassan at 45%, within the survey's plus or minus 4.9% sampling error.
The survey puts Libertarian Brian Chabot at 2%, with 5% undecided.
Ayotte holds a 48%-32% favorable/unfavorable rating, similar to Hassan's 47%-27% rating. Six in ten approve of the job Hassan's doing as governor, with 31% saying they disapprove.
Half of those questioned give Ayotte a thumbs up on the job she's doing in the U.S. Senate, with 38% saying they disapprove.
The showdown between Ayotte and Hassan is one of the most high-profile, expensive and negative Senate races in the country.
Race for governor
In the contest to succeed Hassan in the Corner Office, Sununu has 49% support, with Van Ostern at 43%.Another 1% of New Hampshire voters support Libertarian Max Abramson and 7% are undecided.
Sununu's the son of a former well-known governor and younger brother to a former U.S. Senator. And as expected, the poll indicates he's more familiar with Granite State voters.
Sununu has a 36%-22% favorable/unfavorable rating, with just over four in ten not holding an opinion of him.
Van Ostern has a 28%-6% favorable/unfavorable rating, with two thirds of those questioned having no opinion of him.
Four hundred likely voters were questioned by telephone using live operators in the Monmouth University survey.
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